Recent Peer-Reviewed Publications

Queen, L., P. W. Mote, D.E. Rupp, O. S. Chegwidden, and B. Nijssen. 2021. Ubiquitous increases in flood magnitude in the Columbia River Basin under climate change. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. In press.

Chegwidden, O.S., D.E. Rupp, and B. Nijssen. 2020. Climate change alters flood magnitudes and mechanisms in climatically-diverse headwaters across the northwestern United States. Environmental Research Letters 15. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab986f

Jachens, E.R., D.E. Rupp, C. Roques, and J.S. Selker. 2020. Recession analysis revisited: impacts of climate on parameter estimation. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 24:1159–1170. DOI: 10.5194/hess-24-1159-2020.

Roesch-McNally, G., M. Chang, M. Dalton, S. Lowe, C. Luce, C. May, G. Morishima, P. Mote, A. Petersen, and E. York. 2020. Beyond climate impacts: knowledge gaps and process-based reflection on preparing a regional chapter for the Fourth National Climate Assessment. Weather, Climate, and Society 12:337–350. DOI: 10.1175/WCAS-D-19-0060.1

Rupp, D.E., S.L. Shafer, C. Daly, J. Jones, and S.F.K. Frey. 2020. Temperature gradients and inversions in a forested Cascade Range basin: synoptic‐ to local‐scale controls. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres:e2020JD032686. DOI: 10.1029/2020JD032686

Buotte, P.C., S. Levis, B.E. Law, T.W. Hudiburg, D.E. Rupp, and J.J. Kent. 2019. Near-future forest vulnerability to drought and fire varies across the western United States. Global Change Biology 25:290–303. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14490.

Chegwidden, O.S., B. Nijssen, D.E. Rupp, J.R. Arnold, M.P. Clark, J.J. Hamman, S.-C. Kao, Y. Mao, N. Mizukami, P.W. Mote, M. Pan, E. Pytlak, and M. Xiao. 2019. How do modeling decisions affect the spread among hydrologic climate change projections? Exploring a large ensemble of simulations across a diversity of hydroclimates. Earth’s Future 7:623–637. DOI: 10.1029/2018EF001047

Hawkins, L.R., D.E. Rupp, D. McNeall, S. Li., R.A. Betts, P. W. Mote, S.N. Sparrow, and D.C.H. Wallom. 2019. Parametric sensitivity of vegetation dynamics in the TRIFFID model and the associated uncertainty in projected climate change impacts on western US forests. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11:2787–2813. DOI: 10.1029/2018MS001577

Li, S., D.E. Rupp, L. Hawkins, P.W. Mote, D. McNeall, S.N. Sparrow, D.C.H. Wallom, R.A. Betts, and J.J. Wettstein. 2019. Reducing climate model biases by exploring parameter space with large ensembles of climate model simulations and statistical emulation. Geoscientific Model Development 12:3017–3043. DOI: 110.5194/gmd-12-3017-2019

Chisholm Hatfield, S., E. Marino, K.P. Whyte, K. Dello, and P. Mote. 2018. Indian time: time, seasonality, and culture in Traditional Ecological Knowledge of climate change. Ecological Process 7:25. DOI: 10.1186/s13717-018-0136-6

May, C., C. Luce, J. Casola, M. Chang, J. Cuhaciyan, M. Dalton, S. Lowe, G. Morishima, P. Mote, S. Petersen, G. Roesch-McNally, and E. York. 2018. Northwest. Pages 1036–1100 in D.R. Reidmiller, C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis, T.K. Maycock, and B.C. Stewart, editors. 2018. Impacts, risks, and adaptation in the United States: Fourth National Climate Assessment, volume II. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, D.C. DOI: 10.7930/NCA4.2018.CH24

Mote, P.W., S. Li, D. Lettenmaier, M. Xiao, and R. Engel. 2018. Dramatic declines in snowpack in the western US. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 1(2). DOI: 10.1038/ s41612-018-0012-1

Abatzoglou, J.T., and D.E. Rupp. 2017. Evaluating climate model simulations of drought for the northwestern United States. International Journal of Climatology 37. DOI: 10.1002/joc.5046

Houston, L., S. Capalbo, C. Seavert, M. Dalton, D. Bryla, and R. Sagili. 2017. Specialty fruit production in the Pacific Northwest: adaptation strategies for a changing climate. Climatic Change 146:159–171. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1951-y.

Jaeger, W.K., A. Amos, D.P. Bigelow, H. Chang, D.R. Conklin, R. Haggerty, C. Langpap, K. Moore, P.W. Mote, A. Nolin, A.J. Plantinga, C. Schwartz, D. Tullos, and D.T. Turner, 2017. Finding water scarcity amid abundance using human-natural system models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114:11,884–11,889. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1706847114

Rupp, D.E., J.T. Abatzoglou, and P.W Mote. 2017. Projections of 21st century climate of the Columbia River Basin. Climate Dynamics 49:1783–1799. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3418-7

Rupp, D.E., and S. Li. 2017. Less warming projected during heavy winter precipitation in the Cascades and Sierra Nevada. International Journal of Climatology 37:3984–3990. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4963

Rupp, D.E., S. Li, P.W. Mote, N. Massey, S.N. Sparrow, and D.C.H. Wallom. 2017. Influence of the ocean and greenhouse gases on severe drought likelihood in the central United States in 2012. Journal of Climate 30:1789–1806. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0294.1

Rupp, D.E., S. Li, P.W. Mote, K.M. Shell, N. Massey, S.N. Sparrow, D.C.H. Wallom, and M.R. Allen. 2017. Seasonal spatial patterns of projected anthropogenic warming in complex terrain: a modeling study of the western US. Climate Dynamics 48:2191–2213. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3200-x

Vano, J.A., D. Behar, P.W. Mote, D.B. Ferguson, and R. Pandya. 2017. Partnerships drive science to action across the AGU community. Eos 98. DOI: 10.1029/ 2017EO088041

Mote, P.W., D. Rupp, S. Li, F. Otto, D. Sharp, F. Otto, P. Uhe, M. Xiao, D. Lettenmaier, H. Cullen, and M.R. Allen. 2016. Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States. Geophysical Research Letters 43:10,980–10,988. DOI: 10.1002/ 2016GL069965

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