Updated spore detection results are posted below. Spores were detected near Madras, OR and at two out of six sites east of Pasco.

A predictive model for ergot ascospore presence was developed for the Lower Columbia Basin of Oregon that uses accumulated degree-days (beginning January 1, with a base temperature of 50°F and upper threshold temperature of 77°F) to forecast when ascospores are likely to be present.

According to the model, most ascospores are detected in the Lower Columbia Basin when accumulated degree-days are between 414 and 727. Based on this model, the degree-day threshold was reached on May 16, 2024 in Hermiston, OR (accumulated degree days = 420).

In 2023, the degree-day threshold was met on May 19.

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