We partnered with University of Oxford, using their climateprediction.net and weather@home platforms, to help answer questions about the impacts of anthropogenic global climate change in the United States.
Publications where we’ve applied the regional climate model
Rupp, D. E., L. R. Hawkins, S. Li, M. Koszuta, N. Siler. 2022. Spatial patterns of extreme precipitation and their changes under~ 2° C global warming: a large-ensemble study of the western USA. Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06214-3
Hawkins, L. R., J. T. Abatzoglou, S. Li, D. E. Rupp. 2022. Anthropogenic influence on recent severe autumn fire weather in the west coast of the United States. Geophysical Research Letters (49), e2021GL095496, doi: 10.1029/2021GL095496
Hawkins, L., D. E. Rupp, D. McNeall, S. Li, R. A. Betts, P. W. Mote, S. N. Sparrow, D. C. H. Wallom. 2019. Parametric sensitivity of vegetation dynamics in the TRIFFID model and the associated uncertainty in projected climate change impacts on western US forests, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (11), 2787-2813, doi: 10.1029/2018MS001577
Li, S., D. E. Rupp, L. Hawkins, P. W. Mote, D. McNeall, S. N. Sparrow, D. C. H. Wallom, R. A. Betts, J. J. Wettstein. 2019. Reducing climate model bias by exploring parameter space with large ensembles of climate model simulations and statistical emulation, Geoscientific Model Development (12), 3017-3043, doi: 110.5194/gmd-2018-198.
Rupp, D. E., S. Li., P. W. Mote, K. Shell, N. Massey, S. N. Sparrow, D. C. H. Wallom, M. R. Allen. 2017. Seasonal spatial patterns of projected anthropogenic warming in complex terrain: A modeling study of the western USA, Climate Dynamics (48), 2191-2213, doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3200-x.
Rupp, D. E., S. Li. 2017. Less warming projected during heavy winter precipitation in the Cascades and Sierra Nevada, International Journal of Climatology (37), 3984–3990, doi: 10.1002/joc.4963.
Mote, P. W., D. E. Rupp, S. Li, D. J. Sharp, F. Otto, P. F. Uhe, M. Xiao, D. P. Lettenmaier, H. Cullen, M. R. Allen. 2016. Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States, Geophysical Research Letters (43), 10980-10988, doi: 10.1002/2016GL069965.
Mote, P. W., M. R. Allen, R. G. Jones, S. Li, R. Mera, D. E. Rupp, A. Salahuddin, D. Vickers. 2016. Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (97), 203-215, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00090.1.
Mera, R., N. Massey, M. Allen, P. Mote, D. E. Rupp, P. C. Frumhoff. 2015. Climate change, climate justice, and the application of probabilistic event attribution to summer heat extremes in the California Central Valley, Climatic Change (133), 427-438, doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1474-3.
Li, S., P. W. Mote, D. E. Rupp, D. Vickers, R. Mera, M. R. Allen. 2015. Evaluation of a regional climate modeling effort for the western United States using a superensemble from weather@home, Journal of Climate (28), 7470–7488, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00808.1.
Publications where we’ve applied the global climate model
Rupp, D. E., S. Li., P. W. Mote, N. Massey, S. N. Sparrow, D. C. H. Wallom. 2017. Influence of the ocean and greenhouse gases on severe drought likelihood in the central US in 2012, Journal of Climate (30), 1789-1806, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0294.1.
Rupp, D. E., S. Li., N. Massey, S. N. Sparrow, P. W. Mote, M. R. Allen. 2015. Anthropogenic influence on the changing likelihood of an exceptionally warm summer in Texas, 2011, Geophysical Research Letters (42), 2392-2400, doi: 10.1002/2014GL062683.
Rupp, D. E., P. W. Mote, N. Massey, F. E. L. Otto, M. R. Allen. 2013. Human influence on the probability of low precipitation in the central United States in 2012, In Peterson, T. C., M. P. Hoerling, P. A. Stott, S. Herring, eds., Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (94), S2-S6.
Rupp, D. E., P. W. Mote, N. Massey, C. J. Rye, R. Jones, M. R. Allen. 2012. Did human influence on climate make the 2011 Texas drought more probable? In Peterson, T. C., P. A. Stott, S. Herring, eds., Explaining extreme events of 2011 from a climate perspective, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (93), 1041-1067, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00021.1.
