{"id":183,"date":"2019-05-13T12:06:17","date_gmt":"2019-05-13T19:06:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/?p=183"},"modified":"2026-07-23T15:32:12","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T22:32:12","slug":"pests-and-precip","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/2019\/05\/13\/pests-and-precip\/","title":{"rendered":"Pests and Precip"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Predicting <\/strong>cutworm and armyworm pressure is difficult. But without predictive tools (monitoring of adult moths, crop scouting, and detection of larvae), cutworm and armyworm attacks are only noticed too late, when the most severe damage has already been done.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are some factors that affect activity levels:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cyclic booms and busts of pest population levels affect the balance of natural enemy regulation, which is one reason why we seem to have \u2018bad\u2019 cutworm and armyworm (<a href=\"http:\/\/agsci-labs.oregonstate.edu\/vegnet\/2019\/05\/13\/caution-for-cole-crop-plantings\/\">and looper!<\/a>) years followed by years where populations seem more normalized.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Some of the cutworm and armyworms we have in this region arrive each year as long-range migrants from southern latitudes. Weather patterns such as el Ni\u00f1o and la Ni\u00f1a can affect <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/?tag=migration\">migration patterns<\/a>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Another predictor of risk is winter moisture level, both locally and in areas where moths overwinter. These, and other abiotic factors contribute to cutworm and armyworm survival and potential damage each year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading null\">Wet Winter = Worms<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Okay, so the equation isn&#8217;t quite that simple, but we do know that <u>armyworm outbreaks tend to be worse after years with excessive rainfall from Sept-March<\/u>. Due to recent trends, we will be researching WHY outbreaks happen and if we can better predict them. Stay tuned&#8230; (and tell your friends to subscribe for updates!).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Armyworm species, in particular, exhibit <strong>moisture dependency<\/strong>. This simply means that the percentage of egg hatch is greater if there is abundant soil moisture. For instance, last year our regional precipitation was <u>relatively normal from January-March, but 200% wetter than normal in April.<\/u> <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"770\" height=\"547\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/osu-wams-blogs-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com\/blogs.dir\/2721\/files\/2018\/04\/PRISM_ppt_provisional_4kmM3_anomaly_201801_201803.png?resize=770%2C547&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"PRISM precip map showing most of Oregon as 70 percent of normal for January to March 2018\" class=\"wp-image-184\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"770\" height=\"547\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/osu-wams-blogs-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com\/blogs.dir\/2721\/files\/2018\/04\/PRISM_ppt_early_4kmD2_anomaly_MTD_20180416.png?resize=770%2C547&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"PRISM precip map showing Western  Oregon as 170+ percent of normal for the first few weeks of April\" class=\"wp-image-185\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted\">&nbsp;<\/pre>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">2018 Data and Maps from: <a href=\"https:\/\/prism.oregonstate.edu\/overview\/\"><strong>the PRISM group<\/strong>, Oregon State University<\/a> where white=normal; yellow=slightly less; green=approx. 2X increase.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Predicting cutworm and armyworm pressure is difficult. But without predictive tools (monitoring of adult moths, crop scouting, and detection of larvae), cutworm and armyworm attacks are only noticed too late, when the most severe damage has already been done. Here are some factors that affect activity levels: Wet Winter = Worms Okay, so the equation&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/2019\/05\/13\/pests-and-precip\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8003,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[1052,340],"class_list":["post-183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-modeling","tag-water"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paiW4b-2X","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8003"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=183"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/183\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":675,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/183\/revisions\/675"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=183"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=183"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/cutworm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}