Please review the About the Data page before exploring these charts to understand how the data was generated, how uncertainty and variability are represented, and how to interpret the charts. Keep in mind that this is modeled data, not direct observations. The projections for the future shown in these charts show what will likely occur if things continue to change as we are currently observing.
Figure 1: Maps of July mean decadal high temperatures show not only change over time, but also the spatial resolution of the data. The blue dot identifies the location of Fort Collins, Colorado, and the black dot identifies the location of Greeley, Colorado. This figure shows that shifting temperatures are impacting different areas differently.Figure 2: Maps of January mean decadal high temperatures show not only change over time, but also the spatial resolution of the data. The blue dot identifies the location of Fort Collins, Colorado, and the black dot identifies the location of Greeley, Colorado. This figure shows that shifting temperatures are impacting different areas differently.Figure 3: Maps of annual precipitation show not only change over time, but also the spatial distribution of precipitation. Data shown are averages for each grid cell. The blue dot identifies the location of Fort Collins, Colorado, and the black dot identifies the location of Greeley, Colorado. Figure 4: Maps of July mean decadal soil temperatures show not changes over time and spatial distribution. The blue dot identifies the location of Fort Collins, Colorado, and the black dot identifies the location of Greeley, Colorado.Figure 5: Time-series plot of the total number of hot and cold days per year (on the left) and the first and last freezing date (on the right) per year from 1850 to 2100 for the one degree grid cell in which Greeley, Colorado is located. The threshold of 90 degrees Fahrenheit for hot days was chosen based on anecdotal evidence from the research team that extended time at that temperature impacts many of the crops grown in this region. The threshold of 32 degrees Fahrenheit for cold days was chosen because this is freezing point and many plants are impacted by freezing temperatures. Shaded areas show ensemble ranges from 20 ensemble runs in the CESM2-LE and represent variability and uncertainty within the model. Dark lines represent the ensemble mean.Figure 6: Time series pots of mean annual evapotranspiration (a) and July soil moisture (c) next to seasonal plots of precipitation (b) and soil water content (d) where 1 on the x-axis represents January and 12 represents December for the one-degree grid cell in which Greeley, Colorado is located. The figures on the right shows the mean monthly decadal precipitation means across 20 ensemble members. The dark line shows the 10-year mean and the shading shows +/- one standard deviation for each decade.
